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Bet Shrink - by Craig Hill

Porto - Chelsea

February 21st 2007 11:56

After few matches without win Porto finally won against Naval 4:0 . It looks they are back in their usual form in right time because today they have very hard match. Porto is very hard to beat at home. They play excellent defensively with no much chances allowed to visitors. Also, they play good in the midfield and against Chelsea midfield is always key for success. Quaresma and Gonzales should be strong enough to do the job in the middle and together with Postiga and Lopez in attack they also could make some problems to Chelsea defense. Porto have one squad worry , defender Fucile is slight doubt , but he will probably play.

Chelsea know well that Porto is very strong at home and in my opinion they will search for their chance in next match in England. I believe they will be very satisfied with draw today , even better if they score a goal. With such result they will have much better chances in second game. I think they will have pretty same tactics like Porto. They will not push too hard , waiting for opponent mistake. So , it could mean one very close match without much goals and maybe under 2.5 is best bet for this match. However , odds are not great for that option. Chelsea will also be in full strength as Ballack is back after injury .

So, my opinion this match could easily ends low scoring draw. So, go for under 2.5 (1.50 @ bet365) or Porto AH 0.5 (1.80 @ bet365)
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