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Bet Shrink - by Craig Hill

Djokovic - Federer

September 9th 2007 10:41
Probably the best two players in the world will meet in this final. Djokovic had pretty tough draw for this season US Open, but after elimination of Hewitt and Nadal things got much easier for Serbian player. Novak showed big mentally strenght from the beginning of the tournament when he won against Stepanek after almost 5 hours of play. After that match everything was just fine for him and he deservedly make appearance in his first GS Final.

Like many times before , Federer made easy walk thru tournament. His appearance in the final was not under question mark in any match played so far in New York. Maybe the most uncertain outcome was against Davydenko in semis , but at the end champ won it in three sets.



Today's final will be certainly very interesting to watch. I'm expecting dog fight from the very beginning as both players will be very motivated to win this match. Beside GS title, Federer will be motivated to make revenge for previous match in Montreal , while Djokovic wants to prove that win was not perchance.

I think Novak could upset champion today but it's of course risky bet with odds around 5.00. For "sure" money you could go for Novak with set hc 2.5 and odds around 1.65. I believe Novak is capable to take at least one set today , probably more than one too. As I said both will be sharpened at the beginning of the match so don't be surprised if tie-break decide a winner of the opening set. My pick is not without a risk, Djokovic to take first set , LOST 4.00 @ William Hill.

Three set balls in a row for Djokovic in first set, plus another two .... but nothing
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