July 2008 - Bet Shrink

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Bet Shrink - July 2008

WGC Bridgestone Invitational

July 31st 2008 06:26

After winning big monies fot my T4's last week for the Canadian Open I felt compelled to bring forth my top six value picks for well actually todays starting action.

Trevor Immelman 51-1 (who would have thought he'd be my worst odds as per payout)

Sean O'Hair 61-1 (Won me a nice sum, why can't it continue)

Rory Sabbatini 81-1 (Aggressiveness and confidence make him an obvious choice)

Rocco Mediate 91-1 (made it interested after finishing T20 for last picks)

Darren Clarke 101-1 (should have caught him at 121 but didn't pull the trigger until WED.)

Daniel Chopra 151-1 (I think it's a sign as I just watched Love Guru. Deepak's son?)

I have decided to challenge myself and not go for the easy picks and go for the favorites like Cink, Scott and others, because what fun is that? I wonder if Chez Reavie will continue success, maybe worth a sprinkle.

So there is my picks, best wishes and bet if you feel the need and remember picks are given for entertainment purposes and this site and writer are not liable for any advice given.

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Posted By: Spennies - Category: 6. Other sports picks

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Tennis Picks!!!

July 30th 2008 18:23

Presenting match ups that you will profit from the most at the ATP's event in Cincinnati .

Haas V. Monfils (Plus 250)

-Monfils is 1-0 previously against Haas
-Haas is the lower ranked player
-Monfils up-an-comer, whereas Haas is on the downswing

BET Gael Monfils 250 to WIN

Gasquet V. Tursunov (Plus 220)

-Tursunov 2-1 against Gasquet
-Dmitry's record is slightly better
-Tursunov has won this year and won me a big bet in the previous round.

BET Dmitry Tursunov to WIN Plus 220.

Davydenko V. Moya (Plus 350)

-Moya is 4-2 against Nikolay
-They are yet to play on the hard court
-I have an inside tip that Davydenko is rattled & w/Moya pushing him, should be a fun match.

BET Carlos Moya to WIN Plus 350

Best of luck, I have been doing well with my tennis picks, thus the need to share a few. Stay tuned for the Bridgestone six-pack for the upcoming golf championship tournament.

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Posted By: Spennies - Category: 4. Tennis picks

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British Open Picks

July 17th 2008 03:30

Picks with my odds starting soon.

Some deserve a sprinkle for top five finishes also.

Biggest odds for Golfers firstly,

Mike Weir 61 to 1 (Keeping it Canadian, good value and he is due)

Trevor Immelman at 51-1 (Coming off the big win, feels healthy)

Anthony Kim 31 to 1 ( Was my favorite to win at first glance, still good odds)

Adam Scott 29-1 ( should show solid)

Miguel Angel Jimenez 26 to 1 (a good pick with still good value)

There is my Top five, that would pay for a nice vacation if all ended in the top five.

Best of luck and feel free to email or comment below with your picks before or during the British Open.

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Posted By: Spennies - Category: 6. Other sports picks

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July 11th PICKS…

July 11th 2008 08:21

MLB

SF @ CHC

-Early lines have the Cubs being favored -140 to -160.
-Chicago obviously has the better record as the Giants continue to struggle to score runs.
-Statistically Chicago has a huge edge, scoring almost a run and a half more per game.
-Don’t be afraid to look at the under as the Giants Matt Cain has lost two of his last three but none have been higher than 8 runs allowed total.
-Over/Under currently set at 9.5
-Injuries for Cubs also hurts offensive production.
-The four times these teams have met up ¾ have been 11 runs, BUT! Cain and Marquis faced one another July 1st with Giants winning 2-1.
-Literally all or nothing against the Cubs with Cain as he’ll shut ‘em completely down or give up the massive 6 or 7 runs.
-Marquis is pretty steady all-time versus the Giants.
-Giants have lost four in a row, giving up an average of six runs a night and scoring only six total in four games.
-When the Cubbies get good pitching the offence almost always puts up a six-spot.
-Cubs are an awesome 35-11 at home VS Giants who are a not bad three games under .500 on the road.
-Also if you have it available at your sportsbook, I’d bet that they WILL! Score a run in the first inning. The last 7/10 starts combined for Cain and Marquis at least one run has scored in the 1st inning including their last head to head matchup July 1st, now how’s that for a stat.

So…

BET Chicago Cubs to WIN

BET to go UNDER -9.5

BET YES to a score in the 1st inning

MLB

NYY @ TOR

-Toronto with Doc on the hill are favored at -120 as the Yankees Joba will be better prepared to face the Jays Ace. No more pitch counts for chamberlain, “here’s the ball and go still one big fella”.
-The Total looks to be set at 7.5, which is low but with two studs on the hill, I can see why, but the Jays are hitting with all the momentum of back-to back walk off winners.
-Yanks come into this one five games up on the resurgent Jays.
-Both pitchers have gone over 9 runs allowed in 4 of last six combined.
-Halladay is solid but not invincible as he relies heavily on the defense behind him.
-Now Vernon Wells and McGowan are OUT, with Hill and Stewart also out, the team will need help from all spots.
-Jays VS Yanks in ’08 has only gone over 7.5 2/6 tries.
-Halladay has face NY twice this year and the Jays have only given up three runs each time but are 1-1 with Doc.
-Chamberlain was on a short leash and pitch count last time out, foolishly blurted to the media as Jays batters were painfully patient as Joba’s count rose and he quickly excited giving way to the pen and a Jays 9-3win.
-Yanks last 4/5 have gone under the 7.5 total, while the Jays have gone over their last five, by a lot.
-In the last matchup with Joba-Doc, Vernon Wells was out for that one also, so the effect may not be huge in this game.
-Joba Chamberlain being a former reliever wants to start well and Halladay usually goes deep into -ballgames before giving up his usual 2-3 runs. So look into first inning scoring as a NO bet!
-I am also contemplating with the Jays and their comebacks that a small sprinkle of a bet may be worth a half-fulltime bet of NYY ahead after 5 innings and Toronto to WIN.

BET Blue Jays to WIN -120

BET the OVER at 7.5

BET NO to a score in the 1st inning

BET NYY/TOR for Half/Fulltime betting

CFL

BC @ WPG

BlueBombers.com

-The battle of the winless teams, so we know something’s got to give.
-This spread is at -2.5 and the Total at 48.5
-The over/ under is 1-2 pts high, but we’ll see if it is bettable(yup creating words yo!).
-BC has a huge edge in their last ten meetings, but last year both lost to each other on their home field.
-I do believe that the Lions have lost to the better competition in their two outings in ’08.
-The public is heavily betting on the BC Lions with over 60% of the vote/ bettors.
-Milt Stegall may be available come game time.
-I am trying to get a feel for the total and think I have it as the most they score is a 27-21 game making the 0.5 huge. I’ll take it.

BET Winnipeg Blue Bombers to WIN -2.5

BET the UNDER -48.5

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Posted By: Spennies - Category: 6. Other sports picks

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CFL and MLB Picks!

July 3rd 2008 16:51

CFL
HAM @ TOR

-Argonauts still working there magic with their duo at QB.
-Hamilton got blown out in their first game.
-Which makes the line a little shaky at -10

BET the UNDER -43.5 pts -110

MLB
PHI @ ATL
-Hamels on the hill and Braves getting younger
-Braves best in Jones still battling back from INJ.
-I have noticed a betting initiative I have followed with looking into 1st inning bets to score runs or not. I usually bet for the teams not scoring runs but the last 7 of 10 times these pitchers have had a run scored in the first.

BET a run SCORED in the 1st inning plus101

MLB
BOS @ NYY (-140)

-BoSox are 0-5 in their last streak.
-Yanks win with Pettitte on the hill.
-1st innings scoreless 8 of last 10.

BET New York Yankees to WIN -140

BET for a SCORELESS 1st inning -123

Comments

Imran7->Pettitte is hot = Yankees by 2 or more!!

uatech->this is where the yanks gain ground on the red sucks

I have also bet a combination of
TOR WIN (cfl)
plus
BOS@NYY 1st Scoreless

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Posted By: Spennies - Category: 6. Other sports picks

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July 1st Betting Closed?

July 1st 2008 17:11

I think I have learned my lesson and will try and shy away from the over/unders of the MLB. Baseball is enticing, but pitchers show up or fall apart and I am doing well picking winners, but those late comebacks or complete games are killers.

Also explaining my title, I tried to place a bet or at least see the line for the Toronto Blue Jays game versus the Seattle Mariners and betting was closed. I think Seattle is still undecided or not telling who their starting pitcher will be. On Canada's Day the one Canadian baseball team is unavailable. So below are my picks for todays action in the WNBA and National league

[ Click here to read more ]

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