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Bet Shrink - September 2007

Fleishman - Nishikori

September 30th 2007 22:57
American Zack Fleishman is less than average player. With his 27 years and 7 years of professional career he didn't win any title and currently he is on 141st place of ATP list. His achievements this season are not any better. He has best performances on hard surface , but even on hard he is rarely on second round of tournaments. So, definitely player in the sea of many players.

Nishikori from junior days


His opponent Kei Nishikori is currently on 251st place of ATP list , but he is a still teenager with his 17 years and this is his first season on pro tour. In previous matches he has fluctuating success but he already won over few players from top 100 , like Teimuraz Gabashvili or Michael Berrer. So, definitely player who has time on his side. Nishikori's favorite surface is also hard so he will put his best in this match. His disadvantage could be inexperience , but I believe it will be redeemed by home crowd support. It is his first time to play on some major event in Japan so it would be an extra motivation.

I will go for younger and perspective guy here. Kei Nishikori to win , 1.83 @ sportingbet. Good Luck !!!
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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Verdasco - Dancevic

September 27th 2007 00:48
Fernando Verdasco won easily over David Martin in first round 6:2, 6:1. Like Kunitsyn he had luck in draw as his original opponent Joachim Johansson pulled out from tournament. Some month and half ago Verdasco played only match with Dancevic and lost 2:1 , but match was played on Dancevic's soil in Canada . Verdasco knows how to play against big servers and that could be his advantage today. Frank Dancevic eliminated Del Potro in first round after third set tie-breaker.



Dancevic is in good form lately and his main weapon is a serve , but like I already said Spaniard has a "cure" for big servers. However, I believe it will be a tight match and winner will probably be decided in third set and in my opinion Verdasco has slightly better chances to win this one I think this is a great chance for Verdasco to win and tie series with Dancevic. My pick is Verdasco to win ( 1.80 @ Pinnacle) .
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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Igor Kunitsyn - Dominik Meffert

September 27th 2007 00:45
Kunitsyn ( ATP 81 ) had luck in a first round as his supposed opponent Djokovic retired from the tournament. Russian showed strong performances against George Bastl instead. Kunitsyn dominated from the beginning of the match and the winner was not questionable at all. Igor Kunitsyn didn't make some great achievements lately but he was unlucky in draws as at US Open he met Carlos Moya in second round and in China Tommy Robredo in quarters. But it looks he has much more draw luck in Bangkok so it could be his chance to make something more as Meffert is not some classy player.



His opponent, Dominik Meffert ( ATP 228 ) eliminated Delic( who underestimated Meffert in my opinion ) in first round , but serve and volley served him too good and I don't believe he could repeat such good performance against Russian guy. Maybe this bet could be taken in straight sets for Kunitsyn , but I will go for simple Kunitsyn to win. 1.61 @ Pinnacle.
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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Zimonjic/Djokovic Vs. Hanley/Hewitt

September 22nd 2007 00:16
After day 1 result in Davis Cup match between Serbia and Australia is tied. Djokovic won his match against Luczak while Tipsarevic failed against former No1 Hewitt, although he had lead 2:1 in sets. It was my real pleasure to watch live tennis in Belgrade Arena yesterday. Today is very important match for both teams as win means there are just one more match for triumph.

Davis Cup: Djokovic Vs. Luczak , photo by Daressi


Serbia will offer best , Nenad Zimonjic currently 5th player on doubles ATP list and Novak Djokovic , 3rd on ATP standings. It could be a great mix of youth and experience. Zimonjic/Djokovic already played in few previous tournaments, so they already have routine to play together. Also, clay surface (which is not in perfect condition) is big advantage for Serbian double and it was visible on day 1 too. The last fact are 20.000 Serbian fans and "soccer-like" atmosphere in Arena. All these should be enough for maybe decisive 2:1 for Serbia.

Aussies will try to surprise home double with 8th double player Hanley and currently 21st ATP player Hewitt. Personal quality is evidently on Serbian side.

Almost all factors are with Serbia , so my pick is Zimonjic/Djokovic to win with nice odds on bwin , 1.70. I expect odds will drop for sure , so if you like this bet act fast . WON

Zimonjic/Djokovic Vs. Hanley/Hewitt 3:1
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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Belgium Grand Prix

September 16th 2007 01:03
I didn't analyze any bet on Formula 1 this season , although I bet on regular basis in my private bets. But, today for Belgium Grand Prix I see potentially good bets on Polish driver Robert Kubica. Kubica experienced lot of problems during free practice and in qualifications. In the morning free practice session Kubica stopped on track due an engine failure. So, team engineers changed his engine and he make nice results on FP session 1 and 2 and more important in official qualifications.

Robert Kubica


He had 5th time with 1:46.996 or one second worst than Raikkonen who made Pole position. Due penalization he will start from 14th place on Spa-Francorchamps today. BMW team has good results in continuity and Robert Kubica himself made 9 points finish out of 12 races this season. So, I think he has real chances to reach one of the first 8 places. Even safer bet should be Kubica Vs. Kovalainen. Renault driver made 1:48.505 time in qualifications and he will start from 10th position. I believe it would not be a hard task for Kubica to beat him in this duel . I hope Kubica will make his and my day .

Therefore, my picks are Kubica to finish in points ( 2.02 @ betfair) and

Kubica to beat Kovalainen ( 1.85 @ bwin).

Good Luck !!!
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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 5. Formula 1 picks
   


Davenport - Jankovic

September 13th 2007 22:03
Davenport is back in tennis world after almost one year pause. Lindsay Davenport made two pretty comfortable wins in Indonesia. In first round she eliminated Eleni Danilidou 6:2 6:2 and in second Julie Ditty 6:1 6:4. She perform pretty well, but still Danilidou and Ditty are not her class. Match against Jelena Jankovic will be her real test.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Portugal - Serbia

September 12th 2007 01:16
At the beginning of qualifications Portugal and Serbia were considered as favorites to take position one and two in group A. But currently Portugal is on 3rd place one point above Serbia. Leaders Poland and Finland had one match more and 4 i.e 2 points more than Portugal. So, at least 2nd place is still an option for Portuguese and Serbian national squad.

Portugal are expecting this match after draw at home with Poland, while Serbia had disappointing 0:0 with Finland. In my opinion Portugal is overpriced today because Serbia is a team which could beat almost any team in Europe. Serbia didn't have good results in last two games but Zigic missed those matches and in Portugal he should start from the beginning. Yes, there are more stars in Portuguese selection but it looks they are not compatible in team. I see real chances for Serbia to stay unbeaten as they have quality to match with home team


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 3. Soccer picks
   


Djokovic - Federer

September 9th 2007 10:41
Probably the best two players in the world will meet in this final. Djokovic had pretty tough draw for this season US Open, but after elimination of Hewitt and Nadal things got much easier for Serbian player. Novak showed big mentally strenght from the beginning of the tournament when he won against Stepanek after almost 5 hours of play. After that match everything was just fine for him and he deservedly make appearance in his first GS Final.

Like many times before , Federer made easy walk thru tournament. His appearance in the final was not under question mark in any match played so far in New York. Maybe the most uncertain outcome was against Davydenko in semis , but at the end champ won it in three sets


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Djokovic to win US OPEN

September 7th 2007 23:05
Well, tournament is in semifinal stage and there are only two matches left for future champion of US Open.

In the first semifinal Djokovic will meet with Ferrer. Probably it wouldn't be an easy match for Djokovic as Ferrer has decent performances lately, but at the end Novak's quality should prevail. This is third straight GS semifinal for Djokovic and it's time to finally take his chances in final


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Djokovic - Ferrer

September 7th 2007 20:15
Surprisingly , Head to head stats are on Ferrer side as he lead series 2:1. But both Ferrer wins were on clay while Djokovic won only match played on hard , this year in Indian Wells. At U.S Open Djokovic started with win against "lucky loser" Haase 3:0 but in second round he played against Stepanek who made serious problems to Serbian player , however Djokovic won that 5 sets marathon. After Stepanek , Djokovic was more confident and IMO he play better from one match to another. The other victims were Del Potro, Monaco and Moya. Djokovic is almost perfect player in his 20 years of age. He serve pretty well, has great baseline play and shows aggression during matches. It's really hard to play against him as he likes to control whole match.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Wawrinka - Chela

September 4th 2007 00:45
Stanislas Wawrinka shows very good performances at U.S Open this year. He won over Korolev 3:2, Marat Safin 3:0 and Robby Ginepri in another tennis marathon. This is the biggest achievement for him at Grand Slams, so far, as he never reached 4th round of competition. Wawrinka advantage is certainly big serve and in previous matches he lost his serve only in three occasions. Wawrinka also has good base line play as well as his opponent today so I expect lot of very long points on this match.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Davydenko - H.T.Lee

September 3rd 2007 01:23
It looks Davydenko left behind him betting scandal and at U.S Open perform some really great tennis. He won over Jesse Levine, Nicolas Kiefer and Nicolas Almagro all in straight sets. Hard surface suits Davydenko's style of play, mainly because he has big serve and great physical strenght.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Kohlschreiber - Moya

September 2nd 2007 14:51
Philip Kohlschreiber made big surprise beating Youzhny in second round , but I've watched this match I in my opinion Youzhny eliminated himself with numerous mistakes. In the first round Kohlschreiber won over Zabaleta easily in straight sets. Kohlschreiber showed some good performances on the net in previous rounds, but German player isn't Moya class . Few weeks ago he lost against players like Monaco, Del Potro or Hrbaty which are all weaker than Spaniard.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


A. Ivanovic - V. Williams

September 2nd 2007 11:18
Both players perform excellent at this season U.S Open and IMO it's shame they meet in so early stage of the competition. Venus didn't have hard job in first three rounds against Kira Nagy, Olaru and Alyona Bondarenko. She didn't drop a set yet allowing only 12 games to her opponents in three rounds. However, those players wasn't real test for Venus and today we'll see is she capable for highest place this year in America.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Ginepri - Wawrinka

September 2nd 2007 10:42
Robby Ginepri didn't have hard task in first two rounds beating Olivier Rochus and Teimuraz Gabashvili both in straight sets. He play good at hard surface and he is domestic player in U.S. and that could be small advantage for him. However, he is not unbeatable at hard and players like Murray , Calleri or even Michael Berrer won against him in previous month.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


Cagliari - Juventus

September 2nd 2007 01:23
Cagliari made nice result in the opening match beating Napoli in Naples 0:2. It’s maybe bit surprising result but it seems Napoli lack quality to compete equally with other teams in Serie A. Cagliari won then mainly because of Foggia great performances and it seems he could help lot Cagliari this season. Cagliari will try to get something against Juve too but it will be much harder task than one week ago. Cagliari is almost complete as only Marruocco and Bizera are injured players.

Probable: Fortin, Ferri, Lopez, Bianco, Del Grosso, Foggia, Parola, Conti, Fini, Larrivey, Matri


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 3. Soccer picks
   


Lyon - Le Mans

September 1st 2007 15:20
9th placed Lyon will have a chance tonight to extend their winning row against 8th Le Mans. Lyon started this season far from expectations and after few rounds they were near bottom. Last few matches suggest they are improving form. In the midweek , Lyon made their first away win this season against Sochaux 1:2 and that could be nice overture for tonight match. Bad results at the beginning of the competition are mostly caused by great number of injured players. For Lyon, Cris, Coupet, Ben Arfa and Fred are still out while Juninho is doubtful .


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 3. Soccer picks
   


Szavay - Petrova

September 1st 2007 11:51
The most pleasant surprise this year at US Open woman competition is certainly Hungarian youngster Agnes Szavay. She reached the final in New Heaven one week ago and there she won against strong players like Stosur or Hantuchova. At US Open she easily eliminated Sandra Kloesel i nthe first round and somewhat harder Michaela Krajicek in second.


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Posted By: Daressi - Category: 4. Tennis picks
   


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