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Bet Shrink - November 2006

November stats

November 30th 2006 23:43
Here you can see my stats for November. It was very profitable month for me . I’ve started with this blog in second half of the month , therefore only 10 picks. I can’t promise stats “without stain” for the future, but I will give my best to make some profit for all of us.

Good Luck !!!



Average odds: 1.79
Average won odd: 1.81
Average void odd: 1.74

116
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Mlada Boleslav - PSG

November 30th 2006 15:08
Both Boleslav and PSG have bad period in their leagues and in UEFA Cup too. Boleslav drew at last home match against weak Slovacko while in previous UEFA round they also drew , away in Bucurest against Rapid 1:1. So, it’s hard to expect some great performances of this team tonight.

PSG drew with Nantes in last league match but PSG were better team most of the time and they were very close to away win then. In last UEFA round they lost against Hapoel 2:4 at home There are some talks this match was fixed , but that’s only speculations and who knows what is the truth . But one is sure for me , PSG is much quality team than Boleslav. PSG travel to Czech Republic with almost complete team which means they take this match seriously . PSG is exposed to anger of their fans , there was unrest in France after Hapoel match and I think they will give tonight their best to win .

For both teams only win play some role for further competition , but as I said PSG is more quality team they have extra “motivation” from their fans and I think they have decent chances to win tonight . Beside this bet I also took correct score bet 1:3 , so if you want try this too. PSG AH 0 is my proposition for this match .

1.89 @ 10bet

Bet void: Mlada Boleslav - PSG 0:0 ....money back
62
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Frosinone - Mantova

November 27th 2006 13:25
Interesting match in Serie B this Monday. Frosinone comes to this match after home win against Bari last week 1:0. They are newcomers in league currently they laying at 13th place . Frosinone is team which have much better performances at home than away and Matusa stadium was strong fortress for most of the teams this season. Only Piacenza win here this year . But far from home they are average team. Frosinone will be without Di Nardo, Carbone ,Zacagnini and Anaclerio.



Mantova is one of the teams in Serie B with promotional ambitions. They come to this match after last week win at home against Piacenza 1:0. They are strong team with almost maximal performances at home. But far from home they don’t have any win so far although they have 5 draws and one lost . Mantova is one of four teams without away win in whole Serie B . Beside them , only three last placed teams didn’t make any win as guests . So, all in team wants to change their luck and motivation in front of this match is big. In my opinion they have excellent defense but efficiency is not their stronger side. If they play more attacking football tonight I think they can make first triple points this season. Mantova must do it without suspended Grauso.

So, I think Mantova should profit tonight as home team have some squad problems. My pick is Mantova AH 0.

1.85 @ 10bet

Bet void: Frosinone - Mantova 1:1
56
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Betting strategy: Three days series

November 27th 2006 00:01
For this betting strategy essence is to choose just one pick per day. I recommend odds not lower than 1.50. You should pick match and result which is most probable to you. And to be successful with this strategy we must have series of three consecutive wins.
Start with some amount of money , let say 20$. In case of win , invest whole amount in another bet. In case of win invest one more time whole amount .After three successful picks half of profit goes to our “bank” . The rest is our new initial stake. In case of lost , start again with initial amount (20$).Chase 3 successful picks in a row.


Example:

Round 1

Initial stake: 20$
Odds: 1.70
Bet won: 20$ x 1.70 = 34$

Round 2

Initial stake: 34$
Odds: 1.70
Bet won: 34$ x 1.70 = 57.80$

Round 3

Initial stake: 57.80$
Odds: 1.70
Bet won: 57.80$ x 1.70 = 98.26$

Profit: 98.26$ - 20$( initial stake) = 78.26$
Half profit : 78.26/2 = 39.13$


Therefore, half of profit (39.13$) goes to “bank” and second half is new initial stake.

Round 1

Initial stake: 39.13$
Odds: 1.70
Bet lost: 39.13$ x 0.00 = 0.00$

Start next turn with first initial stake (20$)

If you decide to try this strategy start with smaller stakes and practice at least one month . At the end of the month you will realize can this betting strategy make some profit for you.

Good Luck !!!
64
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Chievo Verona - Udinese

November 25th 2006 13:53


On their last match Chievo drew with Atalanta at home 2:2 , but they had lead of 2:0 . And now they are still without win out of 12 matches played in Serie A his season. However , some improvement is visible in their lately performances. They have new/old coach Del Neri for a few weeks already and improvement is made mainly because of his contribution . But , He is also still winless. Cheivo is on last place and some emergency steps are already taken. They train in some camp away from Verona , so players are far from public and critics. Situation in Chievo is not very well but I think all are very motivated to finally book one win . Home ground is best place for that. Chievo will be without Semioli and Luciano so some changes are expected .

Probable team: Vincenzo Sicignano, Lorenzo D'Anna, Marco Malago, Salvatore Lanna, Davide Mandelli, Andrea Zanchetta, Paolo Sammarco, Matteo Brighi, Victor Obinna, Mattia Marchesetti, Federico Cossato.


Udine come to match after win at home against Sienna 3:0 . So, it looks like they forgot about large defeat in Rome against Lazio 5:0. Udinese have potential this season , but mainly , they have good results at home , while far from home they do not play high level matches. And right here I see some chances for Verona team. Udinese will be reinforced for this match as Di Natale, Felipe and Zapata are back in team , but Pinzi and Baretto are out.

Probable team: Morgan De Sanctis, Cristian Zapata Valencia, Cesare Natali, Felipe, Gaetano D'Agostino, Christian Obodo, Damiano Zenoni, Sulley Ali Muntari, Raffaele De Martino, Vincenzo Iaquinta, Antonio Di Natale


All in Chievo are aware of current situation and I think they are highly motivated to win today. In my opinion they are not so weak as table position suggest and Udinese is maybe just right opponent for first win. I expect strong Chievo start , possible with three attackers because they do not have nothing to lose today . Anyway, risky pick from me today , so medium stake will do the job . Chievo AH 0.

2.10 @ 10bet

Bet won: Chievo -Udinese 2:0
67
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Maccabi Haifa FC - FK Partizan

November 23rd 2006 15:12


This is the third match for Maccabi in UEFA Cup group stage. The first one they won against Auxerre 3:1 , second they lost against Rangers 2:0 . Important to mention is Maccabi played home fixtures on neutral field due to bad safety situation in Israel. But , this match will be played in Israel ( not at home stadium , but in Tel Aviv) and all tickets are sold very quickly , so Maccabi will have great support tonight. Maccabi don’t have some great results in national championship , they are in lower part of the table but I think it will be changed for short time. They had some difficult matches in national league against high ranked teams , far from home but they managed to stay undefeated. One important missing for home side is Brazilian defender Xavier Dirceu and he will probably be substituted by Boccoli who isn’t bad player at all . Maccabi is team who always play their maximum in Euro competitions , so I believe they are highly motivated to win this match


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88
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Werder Bremen - Chelsea

November 22nd 2006 13:17

In group A Chelsea laying at 1st place , with need for one point more to qualify and with last match at home against outsiders Levski . Bremen laying at 2nd place with 3 points less than Chelsea and 2 points more than Barcelona which play against Levski and Barca will win this match for sure.

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72
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SL Benfica - FC Copenhagen

November 21st 2006 12:31

In group F , Manchester Utd is more or less safe participant in the next stage of Champions league , while race for second participant is still open. Celtic , currently 2nd , have 6 points , two more than Benfica and Copenhagen on third and fourth place. Celtic have difficult match tonight against Manchester , while in second match Benfica hosts FC Copenhagen .

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74
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10BET REVIEW

November 20th 2006 12:19
Overview:

10Bet was established in 2003 and has grown to become one of the leading UK online sports bookmakers. It's a serious bookie, with high limits and a clear web interface, very easy to use. 10Bet specializes in Asian Handicap odds, usually with two or more handicaps available per match. What I like the most , 10Bet is bookmaker which posts odds very early. 10Bet is UK licensed ,so I have high confidence in this bookmaker. Live betting is very interesting at 10Bet , like no other bookie , 10Bet offers the Asian Handicap Style which is the starting score when you place a bet. 10Bet uses modern Secure Socket Layer (SSL) technology on all web Pages that contain your personal Information and the most advanced firewall protection on our servers. This ensures the safest platform for keeping your private information and transactions private and protected. 10Bet operates a 24/7 customer service to assist you in the most professional manner with any request or query that you may have


[ Click here to read more ]
77
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Sydney FC – Adelaide Utd

November 19th 2006 00:57

This is my first pick from A-League and I hope it will be successful . Match starts in about four hours so I will put only previous results of those two teams as it relevant to my bet. They played 7 matches against each other so far and Sydney won 4 , Adelaide won 2 matches while 1 drew.

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64
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Crystal Palace - Barnsley

November 18th 2006 13:20

Palace is in 7 matches winless row and they are very low on the table . This is very unusual for this team and if they continue with bad results they could easily drop to relegation zone. On last match they are defeated at home by Stoke 0:1. Palace was better team most of the match , they have more chances but unfortunately they conceived a goal . Red alert in team. This match is very important for them . Team preparations was at high level whole week . They trained more than usual to prepare themselves best possible for match. This match is six pointers because Barnsley have just 3 points less than Palace and that’s why importance of today’s game is so big. They don’t have squad problems . New goalkeeper Turner ( on loan from Everton) should make debut . Palace’s goalkeeper Kiraly is on loan in West Ham.

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48
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ASIAN HANDICAP GUIDE

November 18th 2006 00:39
Asian handicap (AH) is a way of betting. This form of betting is very popular in Asia , therefore the name Asian handicap. In Asian handicap draw outcome is eliminated , so chances for winning are 1:2 , in contrast to fixed odds betting with possibility 1:3. The best way to understand AH is to read following examples

ASIAN HANDICAP 0 (AH 0)
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51
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SC Bastia - Grenoble Foot 38

November 17th 2006 15:41
bastia

Bastia interrupted 3 matches winless row last week in away match against Ajaccio , 0:1. But team is still without win at home in last three matches . Last win on Isle was almost two months ago against Niort 4:1. In Wednesday , Bastia coach Casoni prolonged his contract until June 2008, so it looks like team management is satisfied with his leadership. Now, he has less worries about his future , and he want to verify contract with winning sign tonight. Bastia is typical home team , and they are very hard to defeat at their Stadium Armand Cesari , although they lost one match this season. Two players are slight doubts for this match , Marester and Barthelemy but I suppose they will play tonight . 17 players are ready for match and they are :

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46
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BETTING RULES

November 16th 2006 13:19
1. BET ONLY WITH MONEY YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE

Maybe is best way to form something I call betting bank . Retire some money on one or more accounts and start to bet . I said retire with purpose , because you must depart of your money before you start to bet. If you lose whole bank , don’t lose self confidence . Try again , but calculate how far you can go, how much money you’re capable to lose again


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81
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FIVB World Championships 2006 Women

November 15th 2006 02:20
Brazil – Serbia & Montenegro

S&M made historical success with semi final at World Championship in Japan. They had furious start beating current World Champions Italy 3:1 and then Cuba , Peru , Egypt , Turkey , South Korea , Poland. They lost by hosts Japan 3:2 after leading of 0:2 in sets . In last, decisive , match they won harder than expected against Chinese Taipei 3:2. Girls from Serbia and Montenegro showed great form at whole tournament. They were underdogs in front of WC , but then , odds rapidly dropped for their win . S&M play very fast in field, and that could be a problem for Brazil. All players are well prepared physically , although psychically they could have problems because they play against "big name" Brazil


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49
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Short introduction

November 15th 2006 01:28
This is first post on my brand new blog , so wish luck to me and my pick. Here at www.betshrink.com I will try to inform you about some profitable bets on daily basis . I will post bookmakers reviews some so you can choose the favorite one. Also, I want to share with you few betting strategies which can lead you to successful bettor . Accent will be on soccer, tennis and Formula 1 and occasionally I will post other sports picks. I will answer to your comments and share my opinion about particularly matches you are interested in . I like to bet on sports and every pick written and analyzed here I’ve already placed at bookmaker I suggested in post. My goal is to make some profit to all of us .


[ Click here to read more ]
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