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Bet Shrink - by Craig Hill

13.10.2007. EURO 2008 Qualifiers , High odds only

October 13th 2007 00:36
I didn't bet on soccer for a long time so I will try my luck in this Euro 2008 qualifications.



Cyprus - Wales


Cyprus is the team who play very good at home ground and I think they have good chances to stay unbeaten against Wales. Cyprus will be without midfielder Alexandrou on this match but hey will welcome back Okkas, Konstantinou and Anoleftis who could help the team in offense. Wales comes after big win in Slovakia 2:5 and they are favorites in this match. For Wales there will not be Koumas in the squad which could make some problems for Wales . In the first match Wales were better at home 3:1 but I have feeling they will not win this one. The most probable bet in my opinion is draw and I will back this outcome. Greeks ( Cypriot Greeks too) are always dangerous at home and I think they will take one point out of this match. Best odds for X are at unibet, bettson and Bwin , 3.30.



Poland - Kazakhstan



Poland is in good situation to make their first Europeans Championship appearance , however they must win upcoming fixtures and try not to lose against Serbia on road. But although it looks nice on the paper I believe they must have big pressure to make historical debut. Sometimes it could cause serious problems for the team. Poland will be without Golanski and Blaszczykowskog and Kosowski is back in the squad. Kazakhstan is certainly at least class below home squad but they don't have any pressure on this match. In the first match Kazakhs lost at home 0:1 so evidently they could fight with Poland. Kazakhstan is very tough team and I expect strong defense from the beginning. If they stop Poland in the first 20-30 minutes I believe they have chances to stay in 2 AH. Poland Is big favorite but I doubt they will win with more than 2 goals , I hope they will win again by one. So, my pick is Kazakhstan AH 2, 2.07 @ 10bet.



Italy - Georgia



Italy is big favorite against Georgians. They need to win this match in order to stay in race for the EURO 2008. However, they will be with one eye on Scotland match as they have just one point less than first placed Scotland. I think Italy will not push to hard to humiliate Georgians and they will probably be satisfied with the simple win as 3 points are the most important. Georgians don't have motive to fight but they will certainly do their best to make best possible result. I expect defensive play from the very beginning from them but still it wouldn't be sufficient for a single point. Italy won previous 3 games all by 2 goals difference. I will try my luck with Italy to win by 2 goals once more time. Odds are great , 4.05 @ Bwin, but take it with low stakes.



Armenia - Serbia



Armenia showed solid strenght in this qualifications especially at home where they've tottaly surprised Poland and also drew with Portugal and Finland . Definitely not so easy team to beat as odds around 1.40 suggest. They cannot match quality of the squad with Serbia but their adavntage will be pitch in terrible conditions , so don't expect some beautiful football at this game. Serbia must win all 4 remaining matches in order to make appearance at EURO 2008. They are not so absolute favorites as they have lot of problems against teams from this part of the Europe in recent years. I still remmember embarrassing defeat in Azerbeijan in the last qualifications and even better defeat against Kazakhstan in the present battle. However, I believe Serbia will find the strenght to win this important game, I'm from Serbia I cannot think any different , but still I think Serbia will not win by more than 1 goal. So, my pick is Serbia to win by 1 goal, 3.65 @ Bwin, small stakes.
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